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Commercial activity of organizations express analysis system based on time-series analysis

That Internet-service aimed to help to competitiveness increase and administrative decisions efficiency of the small and average business enterprises. Its occurrence urged to promote development of information-telecommunication technologies national sector.Our service is simple in circulation, accessible, and is worthy replacement both to consulting firms expensive services, and analytical packages which besides high licensings price also require from managers a high standard of mathematical statistics knowledge.

that сервис, firstly, focused on chiefs, highest and average link managers of the commercial organisations. At the same time, it can be useful to proprietors of the organisations, lenders, and also suppliers and buyers.

Given Internet-service is intended for the condition express analysis of the organization based on economic indicators of the public reporting and forecasting its condition on the basis of a new indistinct modelling method. On the basis of the accounting organization activity data it is made account of the analytical indicators characterising liquidity and solvency of the organization, financial independence degree, profitability and organization activity. Based on the received accounts, the time numbers which analysis allows to predict an organization condition for the nearest period at an invariance of external and internal conditions of managing are under construction. As input data the system uses the regulated documents of accounts: «Accounting balance» (form №1); «The income and expenditure statement» (form №2). For effective functioning of the system and construction of the forecast with sufficient reliability degree it is recommended to enter into system the accounting data not less than on 12 time points (for example, the data of quarterly reports for three years). For input and editing of economic indicators the convenient interface reminding corresponding forms of the reporting is provided. Use of the given service ensures decrease in material costs on the contents, operation and modernization of equipment rooms and software and administrative decisions effectivization.

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